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🇺🇸 CENTCOM — Official Statement
IRGC claims of US military casualties are "false"
A CENTCOM spokesperson told Al Jazeera that IRGC claims of killing and wounding 200 US soldiers are false. CENTCOM also denied IRGC claims of damaging a CENTCOM ship.
📡 Click for Live Regional Updates Via Al Jazeera
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📈 Oil, Gold & Hormuz Risk Markets LOADING...
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HORMUZ RISK
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🚨 Breaking — Al Jazeera
Who are the senior Iranian figures killed in the US-Israeli attacks?
🔴 Ayatollah Ali Khamenei — Supreme Leader
🔴 Ali Shamkhani — Khamenei's security adviser
🔴 Gen. Abdolrahim Mousavi — Armed Forces chief of staff
🔴 Aziz Nasirzadeh — Minister of Defence
🔴 Mohammad Pakpour — IRGC commander-in-chief
IRNA: more commanders killed, names to be announced
Al Jazeera · Read full report →
🚨 Breaking — Al Jazeera
Iran confirms Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei dead after US-Israeli attacks
Iranian state TV confirms Khamenei was killed in Israeli and US strikes. A 40-day mourning period has been declared.
Al Jazeera · Read full report →
🇺🇸 Trump — Washington Post
"All I want is freedom for the people."
Trump's first public comment since his recorded video message — delivered to the Washington Post. In his earlier Truth Social video he urged Iranians to take over their government, calling it "probably your only chance for generations." Iranian state media reports 50+ killed in a strike on an elementary girls' school in Minab, Hormozgan province.
Al Jazeera · Read full update →
Iran Attack Map
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✈️ Live Military Aircraft Tracking

ADS-B Exchange
⚠️ Pre-strike predictor — strikes have commenced. This data is now of limited predictive value.

Region: Persian Gulf / Arabian Sea area. Map shows military aircraft with active ADS-B transponders. Look for KC-135, KC-46 refueling tankers (4-hour warning indicator).

🚨
⚡ BREAKING — Active Strike Operation
US & Israel Joint Strike on Iran — Tehran, Missile Sites & Regime Facilities Hit
Multiple explosions reported in Tehran including near Khamenei's offices (University St & Jomhouri district). Israeli Defence Minister Katz: operation targets Iranian missile capabilities and regime sites. U.S. confirmed joint air & sea assets — USS Gerald R. Ford and USS Abraham Lincoln CSGs involved. Israel has closed civilian airspace and declared a national state of emergency. Iranian retaliation considered imminent. Situation developing.
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🔍 What To Watch For — The 6 Real Signals

ANALYST GUIDE
🛢️
Oil Price Spike (>+5% in 24h)
Markets price in Hormuz closure risk before any official announcement. A sudden Brent surge is often the first signal something serious is happening.
→ Watch the Brent tile above for sudden moves
✈️
KC-135 / KC-46 Refueling Tankers
Aerial refueling tankers orbiting the Gulf give strike aircraft enough range to hit Iran. Multiple tankers loitering for hours = 4–6 hour warning window for a potential strike.
→ Check the ADS-B map above for tanker callsigns
📡
Airspace Closure NOTAMs
When Iran or neighboring states issue NOTAMs closing civilian airspace, it often means military activity is imminent or underway. Commercial airlines diverting = real-time conflict signal.
→ NOTAM feed above scans every 60 minutes
🚢
Tanker Diversions from Hormuz
VLCCs and LNG tankers anchoring outside the strait instead of transiting is an insurance market signal — war risk premiums have spiked. Shipping companies act on intel faster than governments.
→ Watch the Hormuz vessel map for anchor clusters
🥇
Gold Surge + Dollar Weakness
Gold breaking to new highs while equities fall signals institutional flight to safety. This happens 12–48 hours before major escalations as smart money repositions.
→ Watch gold tile — above $3,200 = elevated risk
🕊️
Oman / Qatar Diplomatic Activity
Oman is the traditional backchannel between the US and Iran. Unusual diplomatic flights to Muscat, or Qatari FM visiting Tehran, signals back-channel negotiations — often a de-escalation sign.
→ Watch the news feed for Oman/Qatar diplomatic stories

🗺️ Iranian Proxy Network — Regional Threat Status

LIVE STATUS
🇱🇧
Hezbollah — Lebanon
IRGC-QF Proxy · Est. since 1982
~150,000 rockets & missiles. Significantly degraded after 2024 Israeli campaign. Leadership decapitated. Rebuilding under ceasefire.
⚠ HIGH — Rebuilding
🇾🇪
Houthis (Ansar Allah) — Yemen
IRGC-QF Proxy · Controls northern Yemen
Actively attacking Red Sea shipping. Iranian-supplied ballistic missiles, drones, anti-ship missiles. US/UK strikes ongoing but capacity persists.
🔴 CRITICAL — Active Ops
🇮🇶
PMF / Kataib Hezbollah — Iraq
Popular Mobilisation Forces
Drone & rocket attacks on US bases in Iraq/Syria intermittent. Key logistics corridor for Iranian weapons to Lebanon/Syria.
⚠ HIGH — Intermittent
🇸🇾
IRGC Presence — Syria
Direct IRGC + Hezbollah forces
Significantly degraded post-Assad collapse Dec 2024. Iranian land corridor to Lebanon disrupted. Repositioning underway.
🔵 MEDIUM — Disrupted
🇵🇸
Hamas / PIJ — Gaza
Iranian-funded, not fully controlled
Military capacity severely degraded after 15+ months of Israeli operations. Political leadership in Qatar. Ceasefire fragile.
🔵 MEDIUM — Ceasefire
🇮🇷
Iran Direct — IRGC
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
~3,000 ballistic missiles. Hypersonic Fattah-1 tested. Nuclear enrichment at 60%+. Shaheed drone production accelerated. Strait of Hormuz closure capability.
🔴 CRITICAL — Direct Threat

⏱️ Iran Nuclear & Sanctions Timeline

KEY EVENTS
Nuclear Program
2015
JCPOA Signed
Iran agrees to limit enrichment to 3.67% in exchange for sanctions relief. P5+1 deal.
May 2018
US Withdraws from JCPOA
Trump administration exits deal. "Maximum pressure" campaign begins. Iran gradually breaches limits.
Jan 2020
Soleimani Killed
IRGC-QF Commander Qassem Soleimani assassinated by US drone strike at Baghdad airport.
Apr 2021
Natanz Sabotage
Major explosion at Natanz enrichment facility, attributed to Israel. Centrifuges destroyed.
2023
60% Enrichment Confirmed
IAEA confirms Iran enriching uranium to 60% — weapons-grade is 90%. Breakout time estimated at weeks.
Apr 2024
Iran Attacks Israel Directly
First ever direct Iranian strike on Israel: 300+ drones & missiles launched. 99% intercepted.
Jun 2025
US/Israeli Strikes on Nuclear Sites
Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan facilities struck. Iran retaliates with ballistic missiles. Ceasefire via Oman.
2025–Present
Negotiations Resume
Indirect US–Iran talks ongoing via Oman. Iran demands sanctions relief. Nuclear status unclear post-strikes.
Sanctions & Economy
2012
SWIFT Disconnected
Iran cut off from global banking system. Oil exports collapse. Rial loses 80% of value within a year.
2015–18
Sanctions Relief (JCPOA era)
~$100B in frozen assets released. Oil exports recover to ~2.5M bbl/day. Brief economic improvement.
2018–20
Maximum Pressure Campaign
US re-imposes 1,500+ sanctions. Oil exports drop to 200K bbl/day. Inflation exceeds 40%.
2021–23
China Becomes Key Buyer
Iran sells ~1.5M bbl/day to China at discounts, partially bypassing sanctions. Revenue partially recovered.
Sep 2022
Mahsa Amini Protests
Nationwide protests after Amini's death in custody. Regime survives but legitimacy severely damaged.
2024–25
New OFAC Designations
US Treasury targets Iranian oil network, ghost tanker fleet, and Chinese front companies. Enforcement intensified.
2025
Rial at Historic Low
Black market rate ~630,000 IRR/USD. Inflation above 35%. Fuel subsidies strained. Social unrest ongoing.

🇮🇷 Iran — Latest News Feed

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